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← Explore · Market KXPERFORMROLE007-M-RAL

Will Ralph Fiennes perform as M in the next James Bond film?

33.5% implied · bid 30.0¢ · ask 37.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 38.0%, flat over 24h, on a 7.0¢ spread.

Implied probability38.0%
Bid / ask / mid30.0¢ / 37.0¢ / 33.5¢
Spread7.0¢ (20.9%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 15/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 43% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$30 / $40
Imbalance43% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score15.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1215d 21h.

Time to resolve1215d 21h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

No price history yet.

Probability timeline

No history yet.

Order-book depth