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← Explore · Market KXPERFORMROLE007-VILLAIN-CIL

Will Cillian Murphy perform as Villain in the next James Bond film?

22.0% implied · bid 19.0¢ · ask 25.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 26.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.

Implied probability26.0%
Bid / ask / mid19.0¢ / 25.0¢ / 22.0¢
Spread6.0¢ (27.3%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d-0.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 20/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 42% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$20 / $27
Imbalance42% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score20.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.06
RSI (14, hourly)49.7
Realized vol 7d11.62pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1215d 21h.

Time to resolve1215d 21h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth