← Explore · Market KXPERFORMROLE007-VILLAIN-IDR

Will Idris Elba perform as Villain in the next James Bond film?

18.5% implied · bid 15.0¢ · ask 22.0¢

The market prices this at 21.0%, down 39.0pt over 24h, on a 7.0¢ spread.

Implied probability21.0%

Bid / ask / mid15.0¢ / 22.0¢ / 18.5¢

Spread7.0¢ (37.8%)

Change 24h-39.00pt

Change 7d+0.00pt

Thin (score 15/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 41% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$15 / $22

Imbalance41% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score15.0 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.01

RSI (14, hourly)50.3

Realized vol 7d11.94pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 1215d 20h.

Time to resolve1215d 20h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%