← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXPERSONPRESFUENTES-45
Will become President of the United States before 2045?
16.5% implied · bid 15.0¢ · ask 18.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 18.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability18.0%
Bid / ask / mid15.0¢ / 18.0¢ / 16.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (18.2%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-0.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$58 / $210
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 4.8σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean4.77
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.39pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6693d 6h.
Time to resolve6693d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%