← Explore · Market KXPERSONPRESMAM-45
Will become President of the United States before 2045?
9.0% implied · bid 8.0¢ · ask 10.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 9.9%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability9.9%
Bid / ask / mid8.0¢ / 10.0¢ / 9.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (22.2%)
Change 24h+0.05pt
Change 7d-0.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$4
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,414 / $34
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 51 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.96
RSI (14, hourly)51.2
Realized vol 7d0.44pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6715d 7h.
Time to resolve6715d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%