← Explore · Market KXPOCHETTINOOUT-30-Y
Will Mauricio Pochettino leave as manager of the US Men's National Team before the start date of the 2030 Men's FIFA World Cup main tournament based on effective date?
40.5% implied · bid 37.0¢ · ask 44.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 44.0%, down 9.5pt over 24h, on a 7.0¢ spread.
Implied probability44.0%
Bid / ask / mid37.0¢ / 44.0¢ / 40.5¢
Spread7.0¢ (17.3%)
Change 24h-9.50pt
Change 7d-3.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 15/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 46% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2 / $44
Imbalance46% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score15.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.02
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d9.81pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1373d 5h.
Time to resolve1373d 5h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%