← Explore · Market KXPRESPARTY-2032-D
Will the Democratic party win the Presidency in 2032?
49.0% implied · bid 46.0¢ · ask 52.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 46.0%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.
Implied probability46.0%
Bid / ask / mid46.0¢ / 52.0¢ / 49.0¢
Spread6.0¢ (12.2%)
Change 24h+1.50pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 22/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 44% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,300 / $2,653
Imbalance44% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score22.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.7σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.75
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d1.57pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 2331d 6h.
Time to resolve2331d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%