← Explore · Market KXPRESPARTY-2032-R
Will the Republican party win the Presidency in 2032?
50.0% implied · bid 47.0¢ · ask 53.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 47.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.
Implied probability47.0%
Bid / ask / mid47.0¢ / 53.0¢ / 50.0¢
Spread6.0¢ (12.0%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 23/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 26% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,350 / $2,750
Imbalance26% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score22.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.31
RSI (14, hourly)49.7
Realized vol 7d7.99pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 2331d 7h.
Time to resolve2331d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%