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← Explore · Market KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-OIL

What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?

61.0% implied · bid 60.0¢ · ask 62.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 60.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability60.0%
Bid / ask / mid60.0¢ / 62.0¢ / 61.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (3.3%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d-1.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$7
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$382 / $46
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 40 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.9σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.86
RSI (14, hourly)40.0
Realized vol 7d1.17pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1579d 7h.

Time to resolve1579d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth