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← Explore · Market KXROBOTMARS-35

Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?

48.0% implied · bid 46.0¢ · ask 50.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 46.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.

Implied probability46.0%
Bid / ask / mid46.0¢ / 50.0¢ / 48.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (8.3%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 31/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$39
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,671 / $407
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score31.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.1σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.06
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d1.15pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 3041d 7h.

Time to resolve3041d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth