← Explore · Market KXSOCIALSECURITYDEPLETE-33-33JAN01
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the OASI Trust Fund reserves are depleted such that full scheduled Social Security retirement and survivors benefits are no longer payable under then-current law before Jan 1, 2033?
16.5% implied · bid 14.0¢ · ask 19.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 15.0%, flat over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.
Implied probability15.0%
Bid / ask / mid14.0¢ / 19.0¢ / 16.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (30.3%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$27 / $41
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 2318d 6h.
Time to resolve2318d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
No price history yet.
Probability timeline
No history yet.