← Explore · Market KXSPACEXMARS-30
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
24.5% implied · bid 22.0¢ · ask 27.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 21.0%, up 3.0pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.
Implied probability21.0%
Bid / ask / mid22.0¢ / 27.0¢ / 24.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (20.4%)
Change 24h+3.00pt
Change 7d+2.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$6
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$109 / $160
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 60 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.32
RSI (14, hourly)60.0
Realized vol 7d1.49pt
Change 1h+2.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1215d 7h.
Time to resolve1215d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%