← Explore · Market KXSUPERBALLONDOR-30-YES

Will a Super Ballon d'Or be awarded before 2030?

51.0% implied · bid 47.0¢ · ask 55.0¢

The market prices this at 46.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.

Implied probability46.0%

Bid / ask / mid47.0¢ / 55.0¢ / 51.0¢

Spread8.0¢ (15.7%)

Change 24h+0.50pt

Change 7d+0.00pt

Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 36% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$6

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$48 / $55

Imbalance36% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score10.1 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.38

RSI (14, hourly)50.3

Realized vol 7d5.52pt

Change 1h+0.50pt

Resolves in 1215d 7h.

Time to resolve1215d 7h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%