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← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXTIMEDECADE20S-30-VZEL

Who will Time name as Person of the Decade?

40.5% implied · bid 39.0¢ · ask 42.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 37.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability37.0%
Bid / ask / mid39.0¢ / 42.0¢ / 40.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (7.4%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-0.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 15% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$173 / $115
Imbalance15% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 60 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.8σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.79
RSI (14, hourly)60.0
Realized vol 7d1.25pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1244d 6h.

Time to resolve1244d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth