← Explore · Market KXTRADEDEFICIT-31FEB03-T700
Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2030 be above $700 billion?
96.5% implied · bid 94.0¢ · ask 99.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 96.5%, flat over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.
Implied probability96.5%
Bid / ask / mid94.0¢ / 99.0¢ / 96.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (5.2%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 78% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$188 / $99
Imbalance78% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1620d 6h.
Time to resolve1620d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
No price history yet.
Probability timeline
No history yet.