← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXTRADEDEFICIT-31FEB03-T800

Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2030 be above $800 billion?

94.0% implied · bid 89.0¢ · ask 99.0¢

The market prices this at 94.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 10.0¢ spread.

Implied probability94.0%

Bid / ask / mid89.0¢ / 99.0¢ / 94.0¢

Spread10.0¢ (10.6%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d+25.00pt

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 52% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$178 / $297

Imbalance52% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score0.2 / 100

RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.2σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.24

RSI (14, hourly)66.8

Realized vol 7d9.46pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 1619d 5h.

Time to resolve1619d 5h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%