← Explore · Market KXTRADEDEFICIT-32FEB02-T500

Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2031 be above $500 billion?

97.0% implied · bid 95.0¢ · ask 99.0¢

The market prices this at 97.0%, flat over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.

Implied probability97.0%

Bid / ask / mid95.0¢ / 99.0¢ / 97.0¢

Spread4.0¢ (4.1%)

Change 24hn/a

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 50% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0

Imbalance50% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score30.0 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.00

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.00pt

Change 1hn/a

Resolves in 1984d 6h.

Time to resolve1984d 6h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%

No price history yet.

No history yet.

Order book unavailable.