← Explore · Market KXTRADEDEFICIT-32FEB02-T700

Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2031 be above $700 billion?

96.5% implied · bid 94.0¢ · ask 99.0¢

The market prices this at 96.5%, up 27.0pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.

Implied probability96.5%

Bid / ask / mid94.0¢ / 99.0¢ / 96.5¢

Spread5.0¢ (5.2%)

Change 24h+27.00pt

Change 7d+13.50pt

Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 79% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$188 / $99

Imbalance79% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score25.1 / 100

RSI 66 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.57

RSI (14, hourly)66.3

Realized vol 7d7.86pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 1984d 6h.

Time to resolve1984d 6h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%