← Explore · Market KXTRADEDEFICIT-33FEB07-T500
Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2032 be above $500 billion?
97.0% implied · bid 95.0¢ · ask 99.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 97.0%, up 28.0pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.
Implied probability97.0%
Bid / ask / mid95.0¢ / 99.0¢ / 97.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (4.1%)
Change 24h+28.00pt
Change 7d+5.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 80% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$190 / $99
Imbalance80% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score30.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.06
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d8.08pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 2355d 6h.
Time to resolve2355d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%