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← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXU3EOY-31JAN10-T3.5

Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2030 be above 3.5%?

82.5% implied · bid 82.0¢ · ask 83.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 82.5%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability82.5%
Bid / ask / mid82.0¢ / 83.0¢ / 82.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.2%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 21% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,217 / $3,563
Imbalance21% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score48.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.50
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.13pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1595d 4h.

Time to resolve1595d 4h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth