← Explore · Market KXU3EOY-31JAN10-T4.0
Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2030 be above 4.0%?
74.5% implied · bid 74.0¢ · ask 75.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 74.5%, down 1.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability74.5%
Bid / ask / mid74.0¢ / 75.0¢ / 74.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.3%)
Change 24h-1.50pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 12% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,417 / $4,070
Imbalance12% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.46
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.36pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1596d 5h.
Time to resolve1596d 5h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%