← Explore · Market KXU3EOY-31JAN10-T4.5

Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2030 be above 4.5%?

68.5% implied · bid 68.0¢ · ask 69.0¢

The market prices this at 68.5%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability68.5%

Bid / ask / mid68.0¢ / 69.0¢ / 68.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.5%)

Change 24h-2.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 11% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,557 / $3,438

Imbalance11% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score47.5 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.37

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.34pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 1596d 4h.

Time to resolve1596d 4h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%