← Explore · Market KXU3EOY-32JAN09-T3.5

Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2031 be above 3.5%?

80.5% implied · bid 80.0¢ · ask 81.0¢

The market prices this at 80.5%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability80.5%

Bid / ask / mid80.0¢ / 81.0¢ / 80.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.2%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 20% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,821 / $3,307

Imbalance20% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score48.1 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.93

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.26pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 1960d 4h.

Time to resolve1960d 4h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%