← Explore · Market KXU3EOY-32JAN09-T4.0

Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2031 be above 4.0%?

74.5% implied · bid 74.0¢ · ask 75.0¢

The market prices this at 74.5%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability74.5%

Bid / ask / mid74.0¢ / 75.0¢ / 74.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.3%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 16% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,682 / $4,414

Imbalance16% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score48.5 / 100

RSI 33 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.86

RSI (14, hourly)33.3

Realized vol 7d0.24pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 1960d 4h.

Time to resolve1960d 4h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%