a Refacto tool
AdvertisementYour banner here · 728 × 90 · ads@refacto.app

← Explore · Market KXU3EOY-35JAN05-T3.5

Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2034 be above 3.5%?

79.5% implied · bid 79.0¢ · ask 80.0¢

☆ Log in to track

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 79.5%, flat over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability79.5%
Bid / ask / mid79.0¢ / 80.0¢ / 79.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.3%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 18% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,791 / $2,943
Imbalance18% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.9 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 3052d 4h.

Time to resolve3052d 4h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

No price history yet.

Probability timeline

No history yet.

Order-book depth