← Explore · Market KXU3EOY-36JAN04-T3.0

Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2035 be above 3.0%?

86.5% implied · bid 86.0¢ · ask 87.0¢

The market prices this at 86.5%, down 3.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability86.5%

Bid / ask / mid86.0¢ / 87.0¢ / 86.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.2%)

Change 24h-3.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 50% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0

Imbalance50% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.0 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.24

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.67pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 3416d 4h.

Time to resolve3416d 4h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%

Order book unavailable.