← Explore · Market KXU3EOY-36JAN04-T4.0

Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2035 be above 4.0%?

71.5% implied · bid 71.0¢ · ask 72.0¢

The market prices this at 71.5%, down 3.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability71.5%

Bid / ask / mid71.0¢ / 72.0¢ / 71.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.4%)

Change 24h-3.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 13% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,491 / $3,390

Imbalance13% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score47.4 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.35

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.48pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 3416d 4h.

Time to resolve3416d 4h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%