← Explore · Market KXU3EOY-36JAN04-T4.5
Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2035 be above 4.5%?
66.5% implied · bid 66.0¢ · ask 67.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 66.5%, flat over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability66.5%
Bid / ask / mid66.0¢ / 67.0¢ / 66.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.5%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 12% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,511 / $3,359
Imbalance12% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 3416d 4h.
Time to resolve3416d 4h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
No price history yet.
Probability timeline
No history yet.