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← Explore · Market KXU3EOY-37JAN09-T3.0

Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2036 be above 3.0%?

86.5% implied · bid 86.0¢ · ask 87.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 86.5%, flat over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability86.5%
Bid / ask / mid86.0¢ / 87.0¢ / 86.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.2%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 14% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,584 / $3,984
Imbalance14% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score48.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 3787d 5h.

Time to resolve3787d 5h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

No price history yet.

Probability timeline

No history yet.

Order-book depth