← Explore · Market KXU3EOY-37JAN09-T3.5

Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2036 be above 3.5%?

78.5% implied · bid 78.0¢ · ask 79.0¢

The market prices this at 78.5%, down 1.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability78.5%

Bid / ask / mid78.0¢ / 79.0¢ / 78.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.3%)

Change 24h-1.50pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 16% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,482 / $3,928

Imbalance16% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score48.2 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.34

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.27pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 3787d 5h.

Time to resolve3787d 5h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%