← Explore · Market KXU3EOY-37JAN09-T4.0
Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2036 be above 4.0%?
73.5% implied · bid 73.0¢ · ask 74.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 73.5%, flat over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability73.5%
Bid / ask / mid73.0¢ / 74.0¢ / 73.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.4%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 18% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,377 / $3,044
Imbalance18% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 3787d 5h.
Time to resolve3787d 5h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
No price history yet.
Probability timeline
No history yet.