← Explore · Market KXU3EOY-37JAN09-T4.5

Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2036 be above 4.5%?

65.5% implied · bid 65.0¢ · ask 66.0¢

The market prices this at 65.5%, down 3.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability65.5%

Bid / ask / mid65.0¢ / 66.0¢ / 65.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.5%)

Change 24h-3.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 10% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,222 / $3,300

Imbalance10% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score47.3 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.28

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.66pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 3787d 5h.

Time to resolve3787d 5h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%