← Explore · Market KXU3EOY-37JAN09-T5.5

Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2036 be above 5.5%?

56.5% implied · bid 56.0¢ · ask 57.0¢

The market prices this at 56.0%, down 1.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability56.0%

Bid / ask / mid56.0¢ / 57.0¢ / 56.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.8%)

Change 24h-1.50pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 11% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,325 / $3,323

Imbalance11% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score47.3 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.37

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d0.35pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 3787d 4h.

Time to resolve3787d 4h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%