← Explore · Market KXU3EOY-37JAN09-T7.5
Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2036 be above 7.5%?
35.5% implied · bid 35.0¢ · ask 36.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 37.0%, flat over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability37.0%
Bid / ask / mid35.0¢ / 36.0¢ / 35.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.8%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 8% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,063 / $2,062
Imbalance8% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 3787d 4h.
Time to resolve3787d 4h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
No price history yet.
Probability timeline
No history yet.