← Explore · Market KXU3EOY-37JAN09-T9.0
Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2036 be above 9.0%?
20.5% implied · bid 20.0¢ · ask 21.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 21.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability21.0%
Bid / ask / mid20.0¢ / 21.0¢ / 20.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (4.9%)
Change 24h+2.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$4
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$774 / $810
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.19
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.39pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 3787d 5h.
Time to resolve3787d 5h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%