← Explore · Market KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-LLG

Will Labour, Liberal Democrat, and Green coalition form the next government in the United Kingdom?

7.3% implied · bid 3.5¢ · ask 11.0¢

The market prices this at 11.0%, down 44.0pt over 24h, on a 7.5¢ spread.

Implied probability11.0%

Bid / ask / mid3.5¢ / 11.0¢ / 7.3¢

Spread7.5¢ (103.4%)

Change 24h-44.00pt

Change 7d+0.00pt

Thin (score 13/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$7 / $22

Imbalance2% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score12.5 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.31

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d11.84pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 1215d 6h.

Time to resolve1215d 6h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%