← Explore · Market KXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-REFMIN

Will Reform UK minority form the next government in the United Kingdom?

8.5% implied · bid 6.0¢ · ask 11.0¢

The market prices this at 11.0%, down 44.0pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.

Implied probability11.0%

Bid / ask / mid6.0¢ / 11.0¢ / 8.5¢

Spread5.0¢ (58.8%)

Change 24h-44.00pt

Change 7d+0.00pt

Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $22

Imbalance3% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score25.0 / 100

RSI 33 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.16

RSI (14, hourly)33.5

Realized vol 7d23.52pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 1215d 6h.

Time to resolve1215d 6h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%