← Explore · Market KXUKGEYEAR-30JAN01-26
Will it be confirmed that 2026 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred?
3.5% implied · bid 3.0¢ · ask 4.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 3.0%, flat over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability3.0%
Bid / ask / mid3.0¢ / 4.0¢ / 3.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (28.6%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$541 / $192
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1222d 6h.
Time to resolve1222d 6h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
No price history yet.
Probability timeline
No history yet.