← Explore · Market KXUKGEYEAR-30JAN01-28
Will it be confirmed that 2028 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred?
28.5% implied · bid 26.0¢ · ask 31.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 28.5%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.
Implied probability28.5%
Bid / ask / mid26.0¢ / 31.0¢ / 28.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (17.5%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 26/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 14% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$796 / $617
Imbalance14% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.42
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d2.00pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1222d 7h.
Time to resolve1222d 7h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%