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← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXUSCPIYEAR-31FEB01-T0.5

Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2030 be above 0.5%?

86.0% implied · bid 73.0¢ · ask 99.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 86.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 26.0¢ spread.

Implied probability86.0%
Bid / ask / mid73.0¢ / 99.0¢ / 86.0¢
Spread26.0¢ (30.2%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+2.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 90% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance90% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 69 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.71
RSI (14, hourly)69.2
Realized vol 7d0.93pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1616d 21h.

Time to resolve1616d 21h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth