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← Explore · Market KXUSCPIYEAR-32FEB01-T0.0

Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2031 be above 0.0%?

88.5% implied · bid 78.0¢ · ask 99.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 78.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 21.0¢ spread.

Implied probability78.0%
Bid / ask / mid78.0¢ / 99.0¢ / 88.5¢
Spread21.0¢ (23.7%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d-4.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 35% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance35% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 67 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 8.2σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-8.18
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d0.94pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1982d 22h.

Time to resolve1982d 22h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth