← Explore · Market KXUSCPIYEAR-32FEB01-T0.5
Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2031 be above 0.5%?
50.0% implied · bid 1.0¢ · ask 99.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 71.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 98.0¢ spread.
Implied probability71.0%
Bid / ask / mid1.0¢ / 99.0¢ / 50.0¢
Spread98.0¢ (196.0%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d-35.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 44 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.07
RSI (14, hourly)44.0
Realized vol 7d6.73pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1982d 21h.
Time to resolve1982d 21h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%