← Explore · Market KXUSCPIYEAR-32FEB01-T3.5

Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2031 be above 3.5%?

67.5% implied · bid 36.0¢ · ask 99.0¢

The market prices this at 94.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 63.0¢ spread.

Implied probability94.0%

Bid / ask / mid36.0¢ / 99.0¢ / 67.5¢

Spread63.0¢ (93.3%)

Change 24h+0.50pt

Change 7d+5.00pt

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 8% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0

Imbalance8% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score0.0 / 100

RSI 57 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 9.0σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean9.03

RSI (14, hourly)57.1

Realized vol 7d4.46pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 1982d 22h.

Time to resolve1982d 22h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%