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← Explore · Market KXUSCPIYEAR-34FEB01-T0.0

Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2033 be above 0.0%?

89.5% implied · bid 79.0¢ · ask 100.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 80.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 21.0¢ spread.

Implied probability80.0%
Bid / ask / mid79.0¢ / 100.0¢ / 89.5¢
Spread21.0¢ (23.5%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d+2.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 100% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance100% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 64 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 13.3σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-13.28
RSI (14, hourly)63.6
Realized vol 7d0.54pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 2713d 22h.

Time to resolve2713d 22h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth