← Explore · Market KXUSCPIYEAR-34FEB01-T0.5

Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2033 be above 0.5%?

63.0% implied · bid 26.0¢ · ask 100.0¢

The market prices this at 87.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 74.0¢ spread.

Implied probability87.0%

Bid / ask / mid26.0¢ / 100.0¢ / 63.0¢

Spread74.0¢ (117.5%)

Change 24h+0.50pt

Change 7d-16.00pt

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 100% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0

Imbalance100% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score0.0 / 100

RSI 32 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.4σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.44

RSI (14, hourly)32.4

Realized vol 7d3.71pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 2713d 21h.

Time to resolve2713d 21h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%