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← Explore · Market KXUSCPIYEAR-34FEB01-T3.0

Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2033 be above 3.0%?

53.0% implied · bid 6.0¢ · ask 100.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 95.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 94.0¢ spread.

Implied probability95.0%
Bid / ask / mid6.0¢ / 100.0¢ / 53.0¢
Spread94.0¢ (177.4%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d-20.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 100% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance100% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 78 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.9σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.88
RSI (14, hourly)78.4
Realized vol 7d6.39pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 2713d 22h.

Time to resolve2713d 22h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth