← Explore · Market KXUSCPIYEAR-35FEB01-T1.0

Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2034 be above 1.0%?

63.0% implied · bid 60.0¢ · ask 66.0¢

The market prices this at 66.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.

Implied probability66.0%

Bid / ask / mid60.0¢ / 66.0¢ / 63.0¢

Spread6.0¢ (9.5%)

Change 24h-0.50pt

Change 7d-0.50pt

Thin (score 20/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1 / $41

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score20.0 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.5σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.54

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d1.25pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 3078d 21h.

Time to resolve3078d 21h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%