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← Explore · Market KXUSCPIYEAR-35FEB01-T3.5

Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2034 be above 3.5%?

49.0% implied · bid 1.0¢ · ask 97.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 97.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 96.0¢ spread.

Implied probability97.0%
Bid / ask / mid1.0¢ / 97.0¢ / 49.0¢
Spread96.0¢ (195.9%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d-13.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 40 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 4.2σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean4.21
RSI (14, hourly)40.4
Realized vol 7d10.00pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 3078d 22h.

Time to resolve3078d 22h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth