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← Explore · Market KXUSCPIYEAR-36FEB01-T0.0

Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2035 be above 0.0%?

54.5% implied · bid 9.0¢ · ask 100.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 90.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 91.0¢ spread.

Implied probability90.0%
Bid / ask / mid9.0¢ / 100.0¢ / 54.5¢
Spread91.0¢ (167.0%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d-40.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 100% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance100% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 15 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.1σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.05
RSI (14, hourly)14.5
Realized vol 7d3.77pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 3443d 22h.

Time to resolve3443d 22h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth