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← Explore · Market KXUSCPIYEAR-36FEB01-T0.5

Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2035 be above 0.5%?

51.0% implied · bid 2.0¢ · ask 100.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 75.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 98.0¢ spread.

Implied probability75.0%
Bid / ask / mid2.0¢ / 100.0¢ / 51.0¢
Spread98.0¢ (192.2%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d-30.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 100% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance100% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.1σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.12
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d5.45pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 3443d 21h.

Time to resolve3443d 21h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth